Nah, We do try to keep track of those in the board who reconnect or reconcile, hence the light and dark icons. But we can only do that with people who are around, or come around to tell if that was so for them.
Most HS members stop posting after a while (that I know because I work in the Archives as well as on the Inactive Stories). There are some who have been regulars for years, and others who stick a around for some time, then stop being around, then one day pop up.
We do not know what has happened in the lives of the many who have stop updating.
For a while, it seemed the purple icons were being given to people whose MLCers were reconnecting in the 3-3.5 yearks mark. But now we have members with purple icons whose times frames are longer than that.
We also have members that still do not have purple but whose spouses are getting closer to them. And some are past the 5 years mark.
If I am not mistaken, a while ago, RCR had written that most reconciliations happened in the 3-3.5 years mark. That was one of the issues that was debated when this blog post was being prepated by RCR and not all mods/mentors agree with it.
What experience tells me is that, yes, the more times goes by the less likely reconciliation will be, but not because the MLCer is not returning, the reason, for me, is the LBS, that often has moved on.
No, I am not saying people have to stand. I am not standing (I have always explaining that standing would make me feel trapped) and for me standing, regardless of for a few years or forever, not standing, changing from standing to not standing back to standing, are individual choices.
I do however agree that a grace standing period is useful and helpful for the wellbeing and healing of the LBS.
For me the others two things are that divorce and not standing do not equal lack of reconnection or reconciliation, or the MLCer wanting to. The former real life MLCers I know were divorced, their spouses did not stand, but the MLCers still wanted back.
So, the longer this goes on, is it more likely-- or less likely -- that MLC might end and there might be a reconciliation?
The more this goes on the more likely the crisis may end (but for those MLCers who remain in MLC forever, but for me those are the exception). But that does not mean a reconciliation is more likely.
MLC takes a lot of time. During that time MLCers do many horrible things and some keep adding insult to injury for years on end, making it much harder for the whole situation to end in reconciliation. Also, the more time goes by, the more the chances the LBS stops standing, moves on, finds someone else.
Of course people may reconcilie at any point. They may even reconcile if both MLCer and LBS had remaried, and, of course, divorce the people they had married.
Sometimes good things fall apart so better things can fall together. (Marilyn Monroe)