Hi, all,
I don't think any such statistics can help much; in the beginning it is something to grasp on to, however every time I have tried to do that it has absolutely and totally backfired. It's just going to take as much time as it is going to take. And that can be a lot longer than a formula.
And then there is the very great danger that when that particular point in time passes and the MLCer isn't "on schedule", it can set the LBS way back, wondering what on earth is going on. What's going on is MLC.
I my case replay, as far as I can tell, has also been going on for much, much longer than what such a formula would say.
There are just too many factors involved. Some to do with the MLCer; some to do with other circumstances, some to do with things that happen along the way, you name it.
I also know that way back, when I went through my own period of behaving very badly, it took me around 6 years.... and I was too young for any such formulas to apply. So it just takes what it takes.