Back again; different tack.
I don't think RCR has introduced any new findings. It's made clear there are no stats and data that are kept. And the researchers here would probably agree it would be difficult to track any data on this forum that would make for valid research.
I suspect instead she was using an expression to encourage people to focus on themselves and not 'expect' that standing will bring about a reconciliation. Which is absolutely true.
In my opinion (which is well known), there were discouraging elements to the content and delivery of that message.
There is research which identifies that, of separated couples, only a percentage of them get back together. And of those that get back together, "most" do so within a certain period of time. Generally, the 80/20 rule (Pareto Principle for those who like to get fancy) seems to apply to reconciliation, too.
It is impossible to find all of the potential variables regarding time, children, OP, etc., so I'm not even suggesting it. Those are an 'individual milage will vary' scenario.
Keep in mind percentages are not probability, and probability is not the same as odds. This is why words, and interchangeable use of words, paint a different picture than the numbers do.
Lets take a look at some percentages, and apply them to the probability of reconciliation, and what they would mean in terms of odds, in the hope that numbers might balance what -- in my opinion - words did not.
Odds are not guarantees of course. In my younger days I was a pari-mutual teller at the local horse race track, so I got to know odds -- and the good and the bad of unlikely odds -- pretty well.
Lets say that only 1% of separated couples reconcile. (That's low by the way - the research I've seen is generally between 10% and 20% of separated couples reconcile). I've rounded some of the percentages to keep things simple in the chart below.
If 1% of separated couples reconcile, the odds are 1:100 for reconciliation
At 2%, odds are 1:50 will reconcile
at 3%, odds are 1:33 will reconcile
at 4%, odds are 1:25 will reconcile
At 5%, odds are 1:18 will reconcile
at 10%, odds are 1:9 will reconcile
at 15%, odds are 2:11 will reconcile
at 20%, odds are 1:4 will reconcile.
at 25%, odds are 1:3 will reconcile.
at 31%, odds are 5:11 will reconcile
at 50% odds are 1:1
I don't know about anyone else, but even at 1%,"the odds" are more favourable than CallingHeart's lottery ticket.
And even at the lower end of the research, if 10% of separated couples reconcile, the odds are 1 in 9 one *could* see a reconciliation.
Just wanting to add a little dose of context to "the odds".
Gamblers and standers, rejoice.